Forecasts › Amazon › Aug 21, 2026
Amazon cycle forecast of August 21, 2026
2 of 3 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 1.4 on average.
walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to August 21, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: Aug 22 – Sep 18, 2026.
Turn by turn
| Date | Turn | What the cycle line does | What the price did |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, Aug 24 | Bottom | stops falling and turns up | ✗ miss – the price made a top there (Aug 24) |
| Tue, Sep 1 | Top | stops rising and turns down | ✓ hit – real top on Aug 28, 2 sessions earlier |
| Wed, Sep 16 | Bottom | stops falling and turns up | ✓ hit – real bottom on Sep 16, the same day |
Direction over the four weeks
The cycle line ended the window lower than it started; the price moved -2.0% (258.64 → 253.51). ✓ Same direction.