Cycle Forecast

Forecasts › Bitcoin › Mar 6, 2026

Bitcoin cycle forecast of March 6, 2026

2 of 3 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 1.3 on average.

walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to March 6, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: Mar 7 – Apr 3, 2026.

70,00080,00090,000Dec 15Jan 1Jan 15Feb 1Feb 15Mar 1Mar 15Apr 1Price · daily close ($)Cycle lineforecast from Mar 6Mar 10bottom ✗Mar 18top ✓Mar 30bottom ✓
65,00070,00075,00080,00085,00090,000Feb 1Feb 15Mar 1Mar 15Apr 1Price · daily close ($)Cycle lineforecast from Mar 6Mar 10bottom ✗Mar 18top ✓Mar 30bottom ✓
Price before the forecastPrice after itCycle line, forecastCycle line, fitted on past pricesPublished turn dateReal turn of the price

Turn by turn

DateTurnWhat the cycle line doesWhat the price did
Tue, Mar 10Bottomstops falling and turns up✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions
Wed, Mar 18Topstops rising and turns down✓ hit – real top on Mar 17, 1 session earlier
Mon, Mar 30Bottomstops falling and turns up✓ hit – real bottom on Mar 27, 1 session earlier

Direction over the four weeks

The cycle line ended the window lower than it started; the price moved -1.7% (68,295 → 67,135). ✓ Same direction.

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