Forecasts › Bitcoin › Aug 21, 2026
Bitcoin cycle forecast of August 21, 2026
2 of 3 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 2.1 on average.
walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to August 21, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: Aug 22 – Sep 18, 2026.
Turn by turn
| Date | Turn | What the cycle line does | What the price did |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, Aug 24 | Top | stops rising and turns down | ✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions |
| Wed, Sep 2 | Bottom | stops falling and turns up | ✓ hit – real bottom on Sep 1, 1 session earlier |
| Mon, Sep 14 | Top | stops rising and turns down | ✓ hit – real top on Sep 14, the same day |
Direction over the four weeks
The cycle line ended the window lower than it started; the price moved +5.4% (77,180 → 81,330). ✗ Opposite direction.