Forecasts › Crude oil › Mar 6, 2026
Crude oil cycle forecast of March 6, 2026
1 of 4 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 1.6 on average.
walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to March 6, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: Mar 7 – Apr 3, 2026.
Turn by turn
| Date | Turn | What the cycle line does | What the price did |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Mar 11 | Bottom | stops falling and turns up | ✗ miss – the price made a top there (Mar 13) |
| Fri, Mar 20 | Top | stops rising and turns down | ✓ hit – real top on Mar 20, the same day |
| Mon, Mar 30 | Bottom | stops falling and turns up | ✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions |
| Fri, Apr 3 | Top | stops rising and turns down | ✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions |
Direction over the four weeks
The cycle line ended the window higher than it started; the price moved +22.7% (90.90 → 111.54). ✓ Same direction.