Forecasts › Crude oil › Apr 2, 2026
Crude oil cycle forecast of April 2, 2026
2 of 4 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 2.3 on average.
walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to April 2, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: Apr 3 – Apr 30, 2026.
Turn by turn
| Date | Turn | What the cycle line does | What the price did |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Apr 3 | Top | stops rising and turns down | ✓ hit – real top on Apr 7, 1 session later |
| Mon, Apr 6 | Bottom | stops falling and turns up | ✓ hit – real bottom on Apr 8, 2 sessions later |
| Fri, Apr 17 | Top | stops rising and turns down | ✗ miss – the price made a bottom there (Apr 17) |
| Fri, Apr 24 | Bottom | stops falling and turns up | ✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions |
Direction over the four weeks
The cycle line ended the window higher than it started; the price moved -5.8% (111.54 → 105.07). ✗ Opposite direction.