Cycle Forecast

Forecasts › Crude oil › May 29, 2026

Crude oil cycle forecast of May 29, 2026

1 of 3 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 0.5 on average.

walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to May 29, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: May 30 – Jun 26, 2026.

708090100110Mar 1Mar 15Apr 1Apr 15May 1May 15Jun 1Jun 15Price · daily close ($ per barrel)Cycle lineforecast from May 29Jun 5top ✓Jun 17bottom ✗Jun 24top ✗
708090100May 1May 15Jun 1Jun 15Price · daily close ($ per barrel)Cycle lineforecast from May 29Jun 5top ✓Jun 17bottom ✗Jun 24top ✗
Price before the forecastPrice after itCycle line, forecastCycle line, fitted on past pricesPublished turn dateReal turn of the price

Turn by turn

DateTurnWhat the cycle line doesWhat the price did
Fri, Jun 5Topstops rising and turns down✓ hit – real top on Jun 3, 2 sessions earlier
Wed, Jun 17Bottomstops falling and turns up✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions
Wed, Jun 24Topstops rising and turns down✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions

Direction over the four weeks

The cycle line ended the window lower than it started; the price moved -20.8% (87.36 → 69.23). ✓ Same direction.

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