Cycle Forecast

Forecasts › Crude oil › Jun 26, 2026

Crude oil cycle forecast of June 26, 2026

1 of 3 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 0.7 on average.

walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to June 26, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: Jun 27 – Jul 24, 2026.

708090100110Apr 1Apr 15May 1May 15Jun 1Jun 15Jul 1Jul 15Price · daily close ($ per barrel)Cycle lineforecast from Jun 26Jul 6bottom ✓Jul 14top ✗Jul 22bottom ✗
708090100Jun 1Jun 15Jul 1Jul 15Price · daily close ($ per barrel)Cycle lineforecast from Jun 26Jul 6bottom ✓Jul 14top ✗Jul 22bottom ✗
Price before the forecastPrice after itCycle line, forecastCycle line, fitted on past pricesPublished turn dateReal turn of the price

Turn by turn

DateTurnWhat the cycle line doesWhat the price did
Mon, Jul 6Bottomstops falling and turns up✓ hit – real bottom on Jul 6, the same day
Tue, Jul 14Topstops rising and turns down✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions
Wed, Jul 22Bottomstops falling and turns up✗ miss – the price made a top there (Jul 23)

Direction over the four weeks

The cycle line ended the window lower than it started; the price moved +29.0% (69.23 → 89.31). ✗ Opposite direction.

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