Forecasts › Crude oil › Jul 24, 2026
Crude oil cycle forecast of July 24, 2026
1 of 4 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 2.3 on average.
walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to July 24, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: Jul 25 – Aug 21, 2026.
Turn by turn
| Date | Turn | What the cycle line does | What the price did |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Jul 28 | Top | stops rising and turns down | ✗ miss – the price made a bottom there (Jul 28) |
| Wed, Aug 5 | Bottom | stops falling and turns up | ✓ hit – real bottom on Aug 5, the same day |
| Wed, Aug 12 | Top | stops rising and turns down | ✗ miss – the price made a bottom there (Aug 13) |
| Wed, Aug 19 | Bottom | stops falling and turns up | ✗ miss – the price made a top there (Aug 21) |
Direction over the four weeks
The cycle line ended the window higher than it started; the price moved -2.5% (89.31 → 87.06). ✗ Opposite direction.