Forecasts › Crude oil › Sep 18, 2026
Crude oil cycle forecast of September 18, 2026
2 of 3 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 2.1 on average.
walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to September 18, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: Sep 19 – Oct 16, 2026.
Turn by turn
| Date | Turn | What the cycle line does | What the price did |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, Sep 21 | Bottom | stops falling and turns up | ✓ hit – real bottom on Sep 22, 1 session later |
| Thu, Oct 1 | Top | stops rising and turns down | ✓ hit – real top on Oct 1, the same day |
| Tue, Oct 13 | Bottom | stops falling and turns up | ✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions |
Direction over the four weeks
The cycle line ended the window higher than it started; the price moved +3.1% (96.08 → 99.02). ✓ Same direction.