Cycle Forecast

Forecasts › Dow Jones › Mar 6, 2026

Dow Jones cycle forecast of March 6, 2026

4 of 6 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 3.1 on average.

walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to March 6, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: Mar 7 – Apr 3, 2026.

450460470480490500Dec 15Jan 1Jan 15Feb 1Feb 15Mar 1Mar 15Apr 1Price · daily close (DIA, $)Cycle lineforecast from Mar 6Mar 9bottom ✗Mar 16top ✓Mar 24bottom ✓Mar 26top ✓Mar 30bottom ✓Apr 2top ✗
450460470480490500Feb 1Feb 15Mar 1Mar 15Apr 1Price · daily close (DIA, $)Cycle lineforecast from Mar 6Mar 9bottom ✗Mar 16top ✓Mar 24bottom ✓Mar 26top ✓Mar 30bottom ✓Apr 2top ✗
Price before the forecastPrice after itCycle line, forecastCycle line, fitted on past pricesPublished turn dateReal turn of the price

Turn by turn

DateTurnWhat the cycle line doesWhat the price did
Mon, Mar 9Bottomstops falling and turns up✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions
Mon, Mar 16Topstops rising and turns down✓ hit – real top on Mar 17, 1 session later
Tue, Mar 24Bottomstops falling and turns up✓ hit – real bottom on Mar 20, 2 sessions earlier
Thu, Mar 26Topstops rising and turns down✓ hit – real top on Mar 25, 1 session earlier
Mon, Mar 30Bottomstops falling and turns up✓ hit – real bottom on Mar 27, 1 session earlier
Thu, Apr 2Topstops rising and turns down✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions

Direction over the four weeks

The cycle line ended the window lower than it started; the price moved -2.1% (475.23 → 465.02). ✓ Same direction.

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