Cycle Forecast

Forecasts › Dow Jones › Jul 24, 2026

Dow Jones cycle forecast of July 24, 2026

2 of 4 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 1.8 on average.

walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to July 24, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: Jul 25 – Aug 21, 2026.

500520540May 1May 15Jun 1Jun 15Jul 1Jul 15Aug 1Aug 15Price · daily close (DIA, $)Cycle lineforecast from Jul 24Jul 30top ✓Aug 3bottom ✗Aug 10top ✗Aug 21bottom ✓
520530540Jun 15Jul 1Jul 15Aug 1Aug 15Price · daily close (DIA, $)Cycle lineforecast from Jul 24Jul 30top ✓Aug 3bottom ✗Aug 10top ✗Aug 21bottom ✓
Price before the forecastPrice after itCycle line, forecastCycle line, fitted on past pricesPublished turn dateReal turn of the price

Turn by turn

DateTurnWhat the cycle line doesWhat the price did
Thu, Jul 30Topstops rising and turns down✓ hit – real top on Jul 28, 2 sessions earlier
Mon, Aug 3Bottomstops falling and turns up✗ miss – the price made a top there (Aug 5)
Mon, Aug 10Topstops rising and turns down✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions
Fri, Aug 21Bottomstops falling and turns up✓ hit – real bottom on Aug 20, 1 session earlier

Direction over the four weeks

The cycle line ended the window lower than it started; the price moved +2.6% (518.79 → 532.19). ✗ Opposite direction.

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