Forecasts › Dow Jones › Aug 21, 2026
Dow Jones cycle forecast of August 21, 2026
3 of 4 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 2.4 on average.
walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to August 21, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: Aug 22 – Sep 18, 2026.
Turn by turn
| Date | Turn | What the cycle line does | What the price did |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Aug 28 | Top | stops rising and turns down | ✗ miss – the price made a bottom there (Sep 1) |
| Tue, Sep 1 | Bottom | stops falling and turns up | ✓ hit – real bottom on Sep 1, the same day |
| Mon, Sep 7 | Top | stops rising and turns down | ✓ hit – real top on Sep 3, 2 sessions earlier |
| Fri, Sep 18 | Bottom | stops falling and turns up | ✓ hit – real bottom on Sep 16, 2 sessions earlier |
Direction over the four weeks
The cycle line ended the window higher than it started; the price moved -3.1% (532.19 → 515.89). ✗ Opposite direction.