Cycle Forecast

Forecasts › Energy sector › May 29, 2026

Energy sector cycle forecast of May 29, 2026

1 of 2 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 0.5 on average.

walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to May 29, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: May 30 – Jun 26, 2026.

5557.56062.5Mar 1Mar 15Apr 1Apr 15May 1May 15Jun 1Jun 15Price · daily close (XLE, $)Cycle lineforecast from May 29Jun 3top ✓Jun 12bottom ✗
54565860May 1May 15Jun 1Jun 15Price · daily close (XLE, $)Cycle lineforecast from May 29Jun 3top ✓Jun 12bottom ✗
Price before the forecastPrice after itCycle line, forecastCycle line, fitted on past pricesPublished turn dateReal turn of the price

Turn by turn

DateTurnWhat the cycle line doesWhat the price did
Wed, Jun 3Topstops rising and turns down✓ hit – real top on Jun 4, 1 session later
Fri, Jun 12Bottomstops falling and turns up✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions

Direction over the four weeks

The cycle line ended the window higher than it started; the price moved -4.4% (56.31 → 53.85). ✗ Opposite direction.

Current Energy sector forecast →   Track record →