Cycle Forecast

Forecasts › Energy sector › Jun 26, 2026

Energy sector cycle forecast of June 26, 2026

1 of 5 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 1.0 on average.

walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to June 26, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: Jun 27 – Jul 24, 2026.

52.55557.56062.5Apr 1Apr 15May 1May 15Jun 1Jun 15Jul 1Jul 15Price · daily close (XLE, $)Cycle lineforecast from Jun 26Jun 30top ✗Jul 10bottom ✗Jul 13top ✗Jul 17bottom ✗Jul 24top ✓
52.55557.560Jun 1Jun 15Jul 1Jul 15Price · daily close (XLE, $)Cycle lineforecast from Jun 26Jun 30top ✗Jul 10bottom ✗Jul 13top ✗Jul 17bottom ✗Jul 24top ✓
Price before the forecastPrice after itCycle line, forecastCycle line, fitted on past pricesPublished turn dateReal turn of the price

Turn by turn

DateTurnWhat the cycle line doesWhat the price did
Tue, Jun 30Topstops rising and turns down✗ miss – the price made a bottom there (Jul 1)
Fri, Jul 10Bottomstops falling and turns up✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions
Mon, Jul 13Topstops rising and turns down✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions
Fri, Jul 17Bottomstops falling and turns up✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions
Fri, Jul 24Topstops rising and turns down✓ hit – real top on Jul 24, the same day

Direction over the four weeks

The cycle line ended the window lower than it started; the price moved +10.7% (53.85 → 59.61). ✗ Opposite direction.

Current Energy sector forecast →   Track record →