Forecasts › Energy sector › Aug 21, 2026
Energy sector cycle forecast of August 21, 2026
2 of 4 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 2.3 on average.
walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to August 21, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: Aug 22 – Sep 18, 2026.
Turn by turn
| Date | Turn | What the cycle line does | What the price did |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Aug 26 | Top | stops rising and turns down | ✗ miss – the price made a bottom there (Aug 25) |
| Thu, Sep 3 | Bottom | stops falling and turns up | ✓ hit – real bottom on Sep 4, 1 session later |
| Thu, Sep 10 | Top | stops rising and turns down | ✓ hit – real top on Sep 9, 1 session earlier |
| Fri, Sep 18 | Bottom | stops falling and turns up | ✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions |
Direction over the four weeks
The cycle line ended the window lower than it started; the price moved +1.1% (63.62 → 64.32). ✗ Opposite direction.