Forecasts › Financial sector › Feb 6, 2026
Financial sector cycle forecast of February 6, 2026
2 of 4 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 2.6 on average.
walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to February 6, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: Feb 7 – Mar 6, 2026.
Turn by turn
| Date | Turn | What the cycle line does | What the price did |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, Feb 9 | Top | stops rising and turns down | ✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions |
| Wed, Feb 18 | Bottom | stops falling and turns up | ✓ hit – real bottom on Feb 13, 2 sessions earlier |
| Fri, Feb 27 | Top | stops rising and turns down | ✓ hit – real top on Feb 26, 1 session earlier |
| Fri, Mar 6 | Bottom | stops falling and turns up | ✗ miss – the price made a top there (Mar 4) |
Direction over the four weeks
The cycle line ended the window higher than it started; the price moved -6.8% (54.26 → 50.56). ✗ Opposite direction.