Cycle Forecast

Forecasts › Gold › Feb 6, 2026

Gold cycle forecast of February 6, 2026

1 of 2 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 1.0 on average.

walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to February 6, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: Feb 7 – Mar 6, 2026.

4,0004,5005,000Nov 15Dec 1Dec 15Jan 1Jan 15Feb 1Feb 15Mar 1Price · daily close ($ per ounce)Cycle lineforecast from Feb 6Feb 13top ✓Feb 23bottom ✗
4,5004,7505,0005,250Jan 1Jan 15Feb 1Feb 15Mar 1Price · daily close ($ per ounce)Cycle lineforecast from Feb 6Feb 13top ✓Feb 23bottom ✗
Price before the forecastPrice after itCycle line, forecastCycle line, fitted on past pricesPublished turn dateReal turn of the price

Turn by turn

DateTurnWhat the cycle line doesWhat the price did
Fri, Feb 13Topstops rising and turns down✓ hit – real top on Feb 11, 2 sessions earlier
Mon, Feb 23Bottomstops falling and turns up✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions

Direction over the four weeks

The cycle line ended the window higher than it started; the price moved +3.6% (4,979.8 → 5,158.7). ✓ Same direction.

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