Cycle Forecast

Forecasts › Gold › Apr 2, 2026

Gold cycle forecast of April 2, 2026

1 of 4 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 1.6 on average.

walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to April 2, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: Apr 3 – Apr 30, 2026.

4,5004,7505,0005,250Jan 15Feb 1Feb 15Mar 1Mar 15Apr 1Apr 15May 1Price · daily close ($ per ounce)Cycle lineforecast from Apr 2Apr 8top ✗Apr 17bottom ✓Apr 28top ✗Apr 30bottom ✗
4,5004,7505,0005,250Mar 1Mar 15Apr 1Apr 15Price · daily close ($ per ounce)Cycle lineforecast from Apr 2Apr 8top ✗Apr 17bottom ✓Apr 28top ✗Apr 30bottom ✗
Price before the forecastPrice after itCycle line, forecastCycle line, fitted on past pricesPublished turn dateReal turn of the price

Turn by turn

DateTurnWhat the cycle line doesWhat the price did
Wed, Apr 8Topstops rising and turns down✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions
Fri, Apr 17Bottomstops falling and turns up✓ hit – real bottom on Apr 21, 2 sessions later
Tue, Apr 28Topstops rising and turns down✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions
Thu, Apr 30Bottomstops falling and turns up✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions

Direction over the four weeks

The cycle line ended the window higher than it started; the price moved -1.1% (4,679.7 → 4,629.6). ✗ Opposite direction.

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