Forecasts › Gold › May 1, 2026
Gold cycle forecast of May 1, 2026
2 of 5 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 2.7 on average.
walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to May 1, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: May 2 – May 29, 2026.
Turn by turn
| Date | Turn | What the cycle line does | What the price did |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, May 4 | Top | stops rising and turns down | ✗ miss – the price made a bottom there (May 4) |
| Wed, May 13 | Bottom | stops falling and turns up | ✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions |
| Fri, May 22 | Top | stops rising and turns down | ✗ miss – the price made a bottom there (May 27) |
| Tue, May 26 | Bottom | stops falling and turns up | ✓ hit – real bottom on May 27, 1 session later |
| Fri, May 29 | Top | stops rising and turns down | ✓ hit – real top on May 29, the same day |
Direction over the four weeks
The cycle line ended the window higher than it started; the price moved -1.1% (4,644.5 → 4,593.0). ✗ Opposite direction.