Cycle Forecast

Forecasts › Microsoft › Mar 6, 2026

Microsoft cycle forecast of March 6, 2026

1 of 4 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 0.5 on average.

walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to March 6, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: Mar 7 – Apr 3, 2026.

350400450Dec 15Jan 1Jan 15Feb 1Feb 15Mar 1Mar 15Apr 1Price · daily close (MSFT, $)Cycle lineforecast from Mar 6Mar 13top ✗Mar 23bottom ✗Mar 27top ✗Mar 31bottom ✓
350375400425450475Feb 1Feb 15Mar 1Mar 15Apr 1Price · daily close (MSFT, $)Cycle lineforecast from Mar 6Mar 13top ✗Mar 23bottom ✗Mar 27top ✗Mar 31bottom ✓
Price before the forecastPrice after itCycle line, forecastCycle line, fitted on past pricesPublished turn dateReal turn of the price

Turn by turn

DateTurnWhat the cycle line doesWhat the price did
Fri, Mar 13Topstops rising and turns down✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions
Mon, Mar 23Bottomstops falling and turns up✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions
Fri, Mar 27Topstops rising and turns down✗ miss – the price made a bottom there (Mar 27)
Tue, Mar 31Bottomstops falling and turns up✓ hit – real bottom on Mar 27, 2 sessions earlier

Direction over the four weeks

The cycle line ended the window lower than it started; the price moved -8.6% (408.62 → 373.50). ✓ Same direction.

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