Cycle Forecast

Forecasts › Microsoft › Apr 2, 2026

Microsoft cycle forecast of April 2, 2026

1 of 3 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 1.7 on average.

walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to April 2, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: Apr 3 – Apr 30, 2026.

350375400425450475Jan 15Feb 1Feb 15Mar 1Mar 15Apr 1Apr 15May 1Price · daily close (MSFT, $)Cycle lineforecast from Apr 2Apr 6top ✗Apr 16top ✗Apr 29bottom ✓
360380400420Mar 1Mar 15Apr 1Apr 15Price · daily close (MSFT, $)Cycle lineforecast from Apr 2Apr 6top ✗Apr 16top ✗Apr 29bottom ✓
Price before the forecastPrice after itCycle line, forecastCycle line, fitted on past pricesPublished turn dateReal turn of the price

Turn by turn

DateTurnWhat the cycle line doesWhat the price did
Mon, Apr 6Topstops rising and turns down✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions
Thu, Apr 16Topstops rising and turns down✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions
Wed, Apr 29Bottomstops falling and turns up✓ hit – real bottom on Apr 30, 1 session later

Direction over the four weeks

The cycle line ended the window lower than it started; the price moved +9.2% (373.50 → 407.81). ✗ Opposite direction.

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