Cycle Forecast

Forecasts › Microsoft › May 29, 2026

Microsoft cycle forecast of May 29, 2026

2 of 3 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 1.3 on average.

walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to May 29, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: May 30 – Jun 26, 2026.

350375400425450Mar 1Mar 15Apr 1Apr 15May 1May 15Jun 1Jun 15Price · daily close (MSFT, $)Cycle lineforecast from May 29Jun 4bottom ✗Jun 15top ✓Jun 25bottom ✓
350375400425450May 1May 15Jun 1Jun 15Price · daily close (MSFT, $)Cycle lineforecast from May 29Jun 4bottom ✗Jun 15top ✓Jun 25bottom ✓
Price before the forecastPrice after itCycle line, forecastCycle line, fitted on past pricesPublished turn dateReal turn of the price

Turn by turn

DateTurnWhat the cycle line doesWhat the price did
Thu, Jun 4Bottomstops falling and turns up✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions
Mon, Jun 15Topstops rising and turns down✓ hit – real top on Jun 15, the same day
Thu, Jun 25Bottomstops falling and turns up✓ hit – real bottom on Jun 25, the same day

Direction over the four weeks

The cycle line ended the window lower than it started; the price moved -17.4% (449.48 → 371.19). ✓ Same direction.

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