Cycle Forecast

Forecasts › Microsoft › Jun 26, 2026

Microsoft cycle forecast of June 26, 2026

1 of 2 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 1.0 on average.

walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to June 26, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: Jun 27 – Jul 24, 2026.

350375400425450Apr 1Apr 15May 1May 15Jun 1Jun 15Jul 1Jul 15Price · daily close (MSFT, $)Cycle lineforecast from Jun 26Jul 9top ✗Jul 22bottom ✓
350375400425450Jun 1Jun 15Jul 1Jul 15Price · daily close (MSFT, $)Cycle lineforecast from Jun 26Jul 9top ✗Jul 22bottom ✓
Price before the forecastPrice after itCycle line, forecastCycle line, fitted on past pricesPublished turn dateReal turn of the price

Turn by turn

DateTurnWhat the cycle line doesWhat the price did
Thu, Jul 9Topstops rising and turns down✗ miss – the price made a bottom there (Jul 8)
Wed, Jul 22Bottomstops falling and turns up✓ hit – real bottom on Jul 23, 1 session later

Direction over the four weeks

The cycle line ended the window higher than it started; the price moved +2.8% (371.19 → 381.74). ✓ Same direction.

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