Cycle Forecast

Forecasts › Microsoft › Jul 24, 2026

Microsoft cycle forecast of July 24, 2026

0 of 2 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 0.5 on average.

walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to July 24, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: Jul 25 – Aug 21, 2026.

350400450500May 1May 15Jun 1Jun 15Jul 1Jul 15Aug 1Aug 15Price · daily close (MSFT, $)Cycle lineforecast from Jul 24Aug 5top ✗Aug 21bottom ✗
350400450500Jun 15Jul 1Jul 15Aug 1Aug 15Price · daily close (MSFT, $)Cycle lineforecast from Jul 24Aug 5top ✗Aug 21bottom ✗
Price before the forecastPrice after itCycle line, forecastCycle line, fitted on past pricesPublished turn dateReal turn of the price

Turn by turn

DateTurnWhat the cycle line doesWhat the price did
Wed, Aug 5Topstops rising and turns down✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions
Fri, Aug 21Bottomstops falling and turns up✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions

Direction over the four weeks

The cycle line ended the window higher than it started; the price moved +26.6% (381.74 → 483.33). ✓ Same direction.

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