Cycle Forecast

Forecasts › Nasdaq 100 › Feb 6, 2026

Nasdaq 100 cycle forecast of February 6, 2026

2 of 2 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 1.3 on average.

walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to February 6, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: Feb 7 – Mar 6, 2026.

590600610620630Nov 15Dec 1Dec 15Jan 1Jan 15Feb 1Feb 15Mar 1Price · daily close (QQQ, $)Cycle lineforecast from Feb 6Feb 19bottom ✓Mar 2top ✓
600610620630Jan 1Jan 15Feb 1Feb 15Mar 1Price · daily close (QQQ, $)Cycle lineforecast from Feb 6Feb 19bottom ✓Mar 2top ✓
Price before the forecastPrice after itCycle line, forecastCycle line, fitted on past pricesPublished turn dateReal turn of the price

Turn by turn

DateTurnWhat the cycle line doesWhat the price did
Thu, Feb 19Bottomstops falling and turns up✓ hit – real bottom on Feb 23, 2 sessions later
Mon, Mar 2Topstops rising and turns down✓ hit – real top on Mar 4, 2 sessions later

Direction over the four weeks

The cycle line ended the window higher than it started; the price moved -1.6% (609.63 → 599.81). ✗ Opposite direction.

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