Cycle Forecast

Forecasts › Nasdaq 100 › Mar 6, 2026

Nasdaq 100 cycle forecast of March 6, 2026

2 of 3 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 1.8 on average.

walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to March 6, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: Mar 7 – Apr 3, 2026.

560580600620Dec 15Jan 1Jan 15Feb 1Feb 15Mar 1Mar 15Apr 1Price · daily close (QQQ, $)Cycle lineforecast from Mar 6Mar 9bottom ✗Mar 17top ✓Mar 30bottom ✓
560580600620Feb 1Feb 15Mar 1Mar 15Apr 1Price · daily close (QQQ, $)Cycle lineforecast from Mar 6Mar 9bottom ✗Mar 17top ✓Mar 30bottom ✓
Price before the forecastPrice after itCycle line, forecastCycle line, fitted on past pricesPublished turn dateReal turn of the price

Turn by turn

DateTurnWhat the cycle line doesWhat the price did
Mon, Mar 9Bottomstops falling and turns up✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions
Tue, Mar 17Topstops rising and turns down✓ hit – real top on Mar 17, the same day
Mon, Mar 30Bottomstops falling and turns up✓ hit – real bottom on Mar 30, the same day

Direction over the four weeks

The cycle line ended the window lower than it started; the price moved -2.5% (599.81 → 585.00). ✓ Same direction.

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