Forecasts › Nasdaq 100 › Jul 24, 2026
Nasdaq 100 cycle forecast of July 24, 2026
1 of 4 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 1.5 on average.
walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to July 24, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: Jul 25 – Aug 21, 2026.
Turn by turn
| Date | Turn | What the cycle line does | What the price did |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Jul 30 | Top | stops rising and turns down | ✗ miss – the price made a bottom there (Jul 29) |
| Tue, Aug 4 | Bottom | stops falling and turns up | ✗ miss – the price made a top there (Aug 4) |
| Tue, Aug 11 | Top | stops rising and turns down | ✓ hit – real top on Aug 13, 2 sessions later |
| Fri, Aug 21 | Bottom | stops falling and turns up | ✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions |
Direction over the four weeks
The cycle line ended the window lower than it started; the price moved +4.3% (684.22 → 713.41). ✗ Opposite direction.