Cycle Forecast

Forecasts › Nvidia › May 1, 2026

Nvidia cycle forecast of May 1, 2026

1 of 4 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 1.3 on average.

walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to May 1, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: May 2 – May 29, 2026.

180200220Feb 1Feb 15Mar 1Mar 15Apr 1Apr 15May 1May 15Price · daily close (NVDA, $)Cycle lineforecast from May 1May 11bottom ✗May 15top ✓May 26bottom ✗May 29top ✗
180200220Apr 1Apr 15May 1May 15Price · daily close (NVDA, $)Cycle lineforecast from May 1May 11bottom ✗May 15top ✓May 26bottom ✗May 29top ✗
Price before the forecastPrice after itCycle line, forecastCycle line, fitted on past pricesPublished turn dateReal turn of the price

Turn by turn

DateTurnWhat the cycle line doesWhat the price did
Mon, May 11Bottomstops falling and turns up✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions
Fri, May 15Topstops rising and turns down✓ hit – real top on May 14, 1 session earlier
Tue, May 26Bottomstops falling and turns up✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions
Fri, May 29Topstops rising and turns down✗ miss – the price made a bottom there (May 29)

Direction over the four weeks

The cycle line ended the window lower than it started; the price moved +6.4% (198.39 → 211.15). ✗ Opposite direction.

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