Cycle Forecast

Forecasts › Russell 2000 › May 29, 2026

Russell 2000 cycle forecast of May 29, 2026

1 of 3 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 1.3 on average.

walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to May 29, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: May 30 – Jun 26, 2026.

240260280300Mar 1Mar 15Apr 1Apr 15May 1May 15Jun 1Jun 15Price · daily close (IWM, $)Cycle lineforecast from May 29Jun 5bottom ✓Jun 18top ✗Jun 23bottom ✗
280290May 1May 15Jun 1Jun 15Price · daily close (IWM, $)Cycle lineforecast from May 29Jun 5bottom ✓Jun 18top ✗Jun 23bottom ✗
Price before the forecastPrice after itCycle line, forecastCycle line, fitted on past pricesPublished turn dateReal turn of the price

Turn by turn

DateTurnWhat the cycle line doesWhat the price did
Fri, Jun 5Bottomstops falling and turns up✓ hit – real bottom on Jun 5, the same day
Thu, Jun 18Topstops rising and turns down✗ miss – the price made a bottom there (Jun 17)
Tue, Jun 23Bottomstops falling and turns up✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions

Direction over the four weeks

The cycle line ended the window higher than it started; the price moved +2.5% (290.41 → 297.61). ✓ Same direction.

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