Forecasts › Russell 2000 › Jul 24, 2026
Russell 2000 cycle forecast of July 24, 2026
2 of 4 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 2.3 on average.
walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to July 24, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: Jul 25 – Aug 21, 2026.
Turn by turn
| Date | Turn | What the cycle line does | What the price did |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Jul 28 | Top | stops rising and turns down | ✓ hit – real top on Jul 28, the same day |
| Mon, Aug 3 | Bottom | stops falling and turns up | ✗ miss – the price made a top there (Aug 4) |
| Mon, Aug 10 | Top | stops rising and turns down | ✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions |
| Thu, Aug 20 | Bottom | stops falling and turns up | ✓ hit – real bottom on Aug 20, the same day |
Direction over the four weeks
The cycle line ended the window higher than it started; the price moved +3.0% (291.20 → 299.94). ✓ Same direction.