Cycle Forecast

Forecasts › Technology sector › Mar 6, 2026

Technology sector cycle forecast of March 6, 2026

2 of 3 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 2.1 on average.

walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to March 6, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: Mar 7 – Apr 3, 2026.

130135140145150Dec 15Jan 1Jan 15Feb 1Feb 15Mar 1Mar 15Apr 1Price · daily close (XLK, $)Cycle lineforecast from Mar 6Mar 10bottom ✗Mar 17top ✓Mar 30bottom ✓
130135140145150Feb 1Feb 15Mar 1Mar 15Apr 1Price · daily close (XLK, $)Cycle lineforecast from Mar 6Mar 10bottom ✗Mar 17top ✓Mar 30bottom ✓
Price before the forecastPrice after itCycle line, forecastCycle line, fitted on past pricesPublished turn dateReal turn of the price

Turn by turn

DateTurnWhat the cycle line doesWhat the price did
Tue, Mar 10Bottomstops falling and turns up✗ miss – the price made a top there (Mar 11)
Tue, Mar 17Topstops rising and turns down✓ hit – real top on Mar 17, the same day
Mon, Mar 30Bottomstops falling and turns up✓ hit – real bottom on Mar 30, the same day

Direction over the four weeks

The cycle line ended the window lower than it started; the price moved -0.9% (137.29 → 136.02). ✓ Same direction.

Current Technology sector forecast →   Track record →