Cycle Forecast

Forecasts › Technology sector › Jun 26, 2026

Technology sector cycle forecast of June 26, 2026

2 of 2 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 1.2 on average.

walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to June 26, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: Jun 27 – Jul 24, 2026.

140160180200Apr 1Apr 15May 1May 15Jun 1Jun 15Jul 1Jul 15Price · daily close (XLK, $)Cycle lineforecast from Jun 26Jul 2top ✓Jul 20bottom ✓
175180185190195Jun 1Jun 15Jul 1Jul 15Price · daily close (XLK, $)Cycle lineforecast from Jun 26Jul 2top ✓Jul 20bottom ✓
Price before the forecastPrice after itCycle line, forecastCycle line, fitted on past pricesPublished turn dateReal turn of the price

Turn by turn

DateTurnWhat the cycle line doesWhat the price did
Thu, Jul 2Topstops rising and turns down✓ hit – real top on Jun 30, 2 sessions earlier
Mon, Jul 20Bottomstops falling and turns up✓ hit – real bottom on Jul 17, 1 session earlier

Direction over the four weeks

The cycle line ended the window higher than it started; the price moved -2.8% (180.88 → 175.88). ✗ Opposite direction.

Current Technology sector forecast →   Track record →