Cycle Forecast

Forecasts › Technology sector › Jul 24, 2026

Technology sector cycle forecast of July 24, 2026

1 of 3 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 0.7 on average.

walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to July 24, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: Jul 25 – Aug 21, 2026.

160170180190200May 1May 15Jun 1Jun 15Jul 1Jul 15Aug 1Aug 15Price · daily close (XLK, $)Cycle lineforecast from Jul 24Jul 30top ✗Aug 4bottom ✗Aug 11top ✓
165170175180185190Jun 15Jul 1Jul 15Aug 1Aug 15Price · daily close (XLK, $)Cycle lineforecast from Jul 24Jul 30top ✗Aug 4bottom ✗Aug 11top ✓
Price before the forecastPrice after itCycle line, forecastCycle line, fitted on past pricesPublished turn dateReal turn of the price

Turn by turn

DateTurnWhat the cycle line doesWhat the price did
Thu, Jul 30Topstops rising and turns down✗ miss – the price made a bottom there (Jul 29)
Tue, Aug 4Bottomstops falling and turns up✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions
Tue, Aug 11Topstops rising and turns down✓ hit – real top on Aug 13, 2 sessions later

Direction over the four weeks

The cycle line ended the window higher than it started; the price moved +4.2% (175.88 → 183.32). ✓ Same direction.

Current Technology sector forecast →   Track record →