Forecasts › Technology sector › Aug 21, 2026
Technology sector cycle forecast of August 21, 2026
4 of 5 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 3.1 on average.
walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to August 21, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: Aug 22 – Sep 18, 2026.
Turn by turn
| Date | Turn | What the cycle line does | What the price did |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Aug 25 | Bottom | stops falling and turns up | ✓ hit – real bottom on Aug 24, 1 session earlier |
| Fri, Aug 28 | Top | stops rising and turns down | ✓ hit – real top on Aug 27, 1 session earlier |
| Tue, Sep 1 | Bottom | stops falling and turns up | ✓ hit – real bottom on Sep 2, 1 session later |
| Fri, Sep 11 | Top | stops rising and turns down | ✓ hit – real top on Sep 9, 2 sessions earlier |
| Fri, Sep 18 | Bottom | stops falling and turns up | ✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions |
Direction over the four weeks
The cycle line ended the window higher than it started; the price moved +3.4% (183.32 → 189.63). ✓ Same direction.