Cycle Forecast

Forecasts › Technology sector › Sep 18, 2026

Technology sector cycle forecast of September 18, 2026

1 of 2 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 0.9 on average.

walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to September 18, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: Sep 19 – Oct 16, 2026.

170180190200Jul 1Jul 15Aug 1Aug 15Sep 1Sep 15Oct 1Oct 15Price · daily close (XLK, $)Cycle lineforecast from Sep 18Oct 2top ✓Oct 12bottom ✗
180185190195200Aug 15Sep 1Sep 15Oct 1Oct 15Price · daily close (XLK, $)Cycle lineforecast from Sep 18Oct 2top ✓Oct 12bottom ✗
Price before the forecastPrice after itCycle line, forecastCycle line, fitted on past pricesPublished turn dateReal turn of the price

Turn by turn

DateTurnWhat the cycle line doesWhat the price did
Fri, Oct 2Topstops rising and turns down✓ hit – real top on Oct 6, 2 sessions later
Mon, Oct 12Bottomstops falling and turns up✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions

Direction over the four weeks

The cycle line ended the window higher than it started; the price moved -3.3% (189.63 → 183.43). ✗ Opposite direction.

Current Technology sector forecast →   Track record →