Cycle Forecast

Forecasts › Tesla › May 1, 2026

Tesla cycle forecast of May 1, 2026

2 of 5 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 1.9 on average.

walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to May 1, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: May 2 – May 29, 2026.

350375400425Feb 1Feb 15Mar 1Mar 15Apr 1Apr 15May 1May 15Price · daily close (TSLA, $)Cycle lineforecast from May 1May 4top ✗May 6bottom ✗May 11top ✓May 13bottom ✗May 25top ✓
350375400425Apr 1Apr 15May 1May 15Price · daily close (TSLA, $)Cycle lineforecast from May 1May 4top ✗May 6bottom ✗May 11top ✓May 13bottom ✗May 25top ✓
Price before the forecastPrice after itCycle line, forecastCycle line, fitted on past pricesPublished turn dateReal turn of the price

Turn by turn

DateTurnWhat the cycle line doesWhat the price did
Mon, May 4Topstops rising and turns down✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions
Wed, May 6Bottomstops falling and turns up✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions
Mon, May 11Topstops rising and turns down✓ hit – real top on May 13, 2 sessions later
Wed, May 13Bottomstops falling and turns up✗ miss – the price made a top there (May 13)
Mon, May 25Topstops rising and turns down✓ hit – real top on May 28, 2 sessions later

Direction over the four weeks

The cycle line ended the window higher than it started; the price moved +11.5% (390.73 → 435.53). ✓ Same direction.

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