Cycle Forecast

Forecasts › Tesla › Aug 21, 2026

Tesla cycle forecast of August 21, 2026

1 of 3 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 1.3 on average.

walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to August 21, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: Aug 22 – Sep 18, 2026.

300350400Jun 1Jun 15Jul 1Jul 15Aug 1Aug 15Sep 1Sep 15Price · daily close (TSLA, $)Cycle lineforecast from Aug 21Aug 26top ✗Sep 3bottom ✓Sep 11top ✗
300325350375400Jul 15Aug 1Aug 15Sep 1Sep 15Price · daily close (TSLA, $)Cycle lineforecast from Aug 21Aug 26top ✗Sep 3bottom ✓Sep 11top ✗
Price before the forecastPrice after itCycle line, forecastCycle line, fitted on past pricesPublished turn dateReal turn of the price

Turn by turn

DateTurnWhat the cycle line doesWhat the price did
Wed, Aug 26Topstops rising and turns down✗ miss – the price made a bottom there (Aug 26)
Thu, Sep 3Bottomstops falling and turns up✓ hit – real bottom on Sep 4, 1 session later
Fri, Sep 11Topstops rising and turns down✗ miss – the price made a bottom there (Sep 15)

Direction over the four weeks

The cycle line ended the window lower than it started; the price moved +0.4% (362.88 → 364.22). ✗ Opposite direction.

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