Cycle Forecast

Forecasts › Tesla › Sep 18, 2026

Tesla cycle forecast of September 18, 2026

1 of 4 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 2.4 on average.

walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to September 18, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: Sep 19 – Oct 16, 2026.

300325350375400425Jul 1Jul 15Aug 1Aug 15Sep 1Sep 15Oct 1Oct 15Price · daily close (TSLA, $)Cycle lineforecast from Sep 18Sep 23bottom ✗Oct 1top ✗Oct 7bottom ✓Oct 16top ✗
340360380Aug 15Sep 1Sep 15Oct 1Oct 15Price · daily close (TSLA, $)Cycle lineforecast from Sep 18Sep 23bottom ✗Oct 1top ✗Oct 7bottom ✓Oct 16top ✗
Price before the forecastPrice after itCycle line, forecastCycle line, fitted on past pricesPublished turn dateReal turn of the price

Turn by turn

DateTurnWhat the cycle line doesWhat the price did
Wed, Sep 23Bottomstops falling and turns up✗ miss – the price made a top there (Sep 23)
Thu, Oct 1Topstops rising and turns down✗ miss – the price made a bottom there (Sep 29)
Wed, Oct 7Bottomstops falling and turns up✓ hit – real bottom on Oct 8, 1 session later
Fri, Oct 16Topstops rising and turns down✗ miss – the price made a bottom there (Oct 16)

Direction over the four weeks

The cycle line ended the window higher than it started; the price moved -2.6% (364.22 → 354.59). ✗ Opposite direction.

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