Forecasts › S&P 500 › Mar 6, 2026
S&P 500 cycle forecast of March 6, 2026
2 of 4 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 2.1 on average.
walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to March 6, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: Mar 7 – Apr 3, 2026.
Turn by turn
| Date | Turn | What the cycle line does | What the price did |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, Mar 9 | Bottom | stops falling and turns up | ✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions |
| Tue, Mar 17 | Top | stops rising and turns down | ✓ hit – real top on Mar 17, the same day |
| Tue, Mar 24 | Bottom | stops falling and turns up | ✓ hit – real bottom on Mar 20, 2 sessions earlier |
| Fri, Apr 3 | Top | stops rising and turns down | ✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions |
Direction over the four weeks
The cycle line ended the window lower than it started; the price moved -2.5% (672.46 → 655.88). ✓ Same direction.