Cycle Forecast

Forecasts › S&P 500 › Jun 26, 2026

S&P 500 cycle forecast of June 26, 2026

0 of 3 published turn dates landed within two sessions of a real turn of the same kind. Moved to random positions, the same dates would have scored 0.7 on average.

walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to June 26, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: Jun 27 – Jul 24, 2026.

625650675700725750Apr 1Apr 15May 1May 15Jun 1Jun 15Jul 1Jul 15Price · daily close (SPY, $)Cycle lineforecast from Jun 26Jun 29top ✗Jul 13bottom ✗Jul 20bottom ✗
730740750760Jun 1Jun 15Jul 1Jul 15Price · daily close (SPY, $)Cycle lineforecast from Jun 26Jun 29top ✗Jul 13bottom ✗Jul 20bottom ✗
Price before the forecastPrice after itCycle line, forecastCycle line, fitted on past pricesPublished turn dateReal turn of the price

Turn by turn

DateTurnWhat the cycle line doesWhat the price did
Mon, Jun 29Topstops rising and turns down✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions
Mon, Jul 13Bottomstops falling and turns up✗ miss – the price made a top there (Jul 10)
Mon, Jul 20Bottomstops falling and turns up✗ miss – no real turn within two sessions

Direction over the four weeks

The cycle line ended the window lower than it started; the price moved +1.3% (729.09 → 738.85). ✗ Opposite direction.

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