Cycle Forecast

Forecasts › S&P 500 › Oct 16, 2026

S&P 500 cycle forecast of October 16, 2026

This forecast is still running. It is judged once its four weeks are over and three more sessions exist, after Nov 18.

walk-forward test Walk-forward test: it was made on November 14, 2026 by running the same engine with prices only up to October 16, 2026. Nothing after that date was visible to it. Window: Oct 17 – Nov 13, 2026.

730740750760770780Aug 1Aug 15Sep 1Sep 15Oct 1Oct 15Nov 1Price · daily close (SPY, $)Cycle lineforecast from Oct 16Oct 20bottomOct 28topNov 2bottomNov 5topNov 12bottom
740750760770780Sep 15Oct 1Oct 15Nov 1Price · daily close (SPY, $)Cycle lineforecast from Oct 16Oct 20bottomOct 28topNov 2bottomNov 5topNov 12bottom
Price before the forecastPrice after itCycle line, forecastCycle line, fitted on past pricesPublished turn date

Turn by turn

DateTurnWhat the cycle line does
Tue, Oct 20Bottomstops falling and turns up
Wed, Oct 28Topstops rising and turns down
Mon, Nov 2Bottomstops falling and turns up
Thu, Nov 5Topstops rising and turns down
Thu, Nov 12Bottomstops falling and turns up

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